Where the market is wrong on Stord v Fana
Stord meet Fana in the 3. Division - Girone 3 regular season - 18.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fana, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Fana on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.8 per match.
Stord arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 9 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 v Fana, D 1-1 @ Førde, D 2-2 v Åsane II, L 2-8 @ Os.
Fana are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 5-3 @ Stord, D 2-2 v Brann II, L 1-3 v Bjarg, W 3-1 @ Sogndal II.
Fana hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stord 3-5 Fana.
The market prices STO at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Stord: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output