Where the market is wrong on jerv v Notodden
jerv meet Notodden in the 2. Division - Group 1 regular season - 21.
jerv rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1581. Recent form leans jerv, 78% against 60%. Attacking output favors jerv on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
jerv arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Notodden, W 2-0 @ Kvik Halden, L 1-2 v Egersund, W 3-1 v Brattvåg.
Notodden are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ jerv, W 4-1 v Arendal, L 2-3 v ODD Ballklubb, D 1-1 @ Træff.
jerv hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: jerv 1-0 Notodden.
The market prices JER at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on Notodden: a 14.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
