Where the market is wrong on Flamengo v Mirassol
Flamengo meet Mirassol in the Serie A regular season - 4.
Flamengo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1512. Recent form leans Flamengo, 73% against 53%. Attacking output favors Flamengo on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Flamengo arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Botafogo, L 1-2 @ Cruzeiro, W 2-1 v Cruzeiro, W 5-1 @ Mirassol.
Mirassol are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Palmeiras, D 1-1 @ Santos, D 0-0 @ LDU de Quito, L 1-5 v Flamengo.
The market prices FLA at 76% implied. Our number sits apart on Mirassol: a 16.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
