Where the market is wrong on San Diego v San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego meet San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer regular season - 24 at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors San Jose Earthquakes on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
San Diego arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Los Angeles Galaxy, W 3-0 v Colorado Rapids, L 1-3 @ Portland Timbers, W 1-0 @ Los Angeles FC.
San Jose Earthquakes are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Houston Dynamo, L 1-5 v Minnesota United FC, L 0-1 @ Los Angeles Galaxy, L 1-3 v St. Louis City.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 San Diego.
The market prices SAN at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on San Jose Earthquakes: a 15.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
