Where the market is wrong on San Diego v Los Angeles Galaxy
San Diego meet Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer regular season - 22 at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors San Diego on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
San Diego arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Los Angeles Galaxy, W 3-0 v Colorado Rapids, L 1-3 @ Portland Timbers, W 1-0 @ Los Angeles FC.
Los Angeles Galaxy are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ San Diego, D 2-2 @ CF Montreal, W 1-0 v San Jose Earthquakes, L 0-1 @ Houston Dynamo.
San Diego hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: San Diego 3-1 Los Angeles Galaxy.
The market prices SAN at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Los Angeles Galaxy: a 8.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
