Bayer Leverkusen v FSV Mainz 05: the model read
Bayer Leverkusen meet FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga regular season - 24 at BayArena, Leverkusen.
The baseline ratings are close, 1613 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FSV Mainz 05, 73% against 63%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 3.1 to 2.5 per match.
Bayer Leverkusen arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ SV Elversberg, W 4-0 @ SV Wehen, W 2-1 @ Newcastle, L 1-2 @ Nottingham Forest.
FSV Mainz 05 are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 18 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v SC Paderborn 07, W 9-0 @ Krieschow, W 2-1 v Bournemouth, W 4-0 v Paris FC.
Bayer Leverkusen hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 FSV Mainz 05.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
