HaitiUSA v Haiti: the model read
USA meet Haiti in the CONCACAF Gold Cup group stage - 3 at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans USA, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors USA on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
USA arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Belgium, W 2-0 v Bosnia & Herzegovina, L 2-3 @ Türkiye, W 2-0 v Australia.
Haiti are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Morocco, L 0-3 @ Brazil, L 0-1 v Scotland, L 1-2 v Peru.
USA hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: USA 2-1 Haiti.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
