Iceland U21 v Switzerland U21: the model read
Iceland U21 meet Switzerland U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification group stage - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Switzerland U21, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Switzerland U21 on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Iceland U21 arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 16 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Switzerland U21, D 1-1 v France U21, L 1-2 @ France U21, W 6-2 v Estonia U21.
Switzerland U21 are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Iceland U21, W 5-0 v Luxembourg U21, W 2-1 v Estonia U21, W 1-0 v Faroe Islands U21.
Iceland U21 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Iceland U21 5-1 Switzerland U21.
The market prices ICE at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
