Rhode Island v Hartford Athletic: the model read
Rhode Island meet Hartford Athletic in the USL League One Cup group stage - 8 at Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, Rhode Island.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 55%. Attacking output favors Rhode Island on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Rhode Island at 57%; double chance reads Rhode Island or draw 71%, Hartford Athletic or draw 62%.
Rhode Island arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Monterey Bay, L 0-2 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies, W 2-0 v Colorado Springs, L 0-1 @ Birmingham Legion.
Hartford Athletic are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Miami FC, W 4-2 @ Charlotte Independence, D 1-1 @ Indy Eleven, L 0-2 @ Loudoun United.
Rhode Island hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rhode Island 1-0 Hartford Athletic.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
