Ghana v Panama

Ghana meet Panama in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group l at BMO Field, Toronto. The model makes Ghana the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% GHA, 31% draw, 32% PAN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1780 to 1730, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 56%. Attacking output favors Ghana on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Ghana 1-0 Panama, from expected goals of 1.3 to 1.1.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Ghana at 53%; double chance reads Ghana or draw 68%, Panama or draw 64%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.