Mazatlán v Santos Laguna: the model read
Mazatlán meet Santos Laguna in the Copa por México group stage - 4 at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara. The model makes Santos Laguna the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 35% MAZ, 29% draw, 36% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 33% against 33%. Attacking output favors Mazatlán on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Santos Laguna at 51%; double chance reads Mazatlán or draw 64%, Santos Laguna or draw 65%.
Mazatlán arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Tigres UANL, W 4-3 v Toluca, D 1-1 v Club Queretaro, L 1-3 @ U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Santos Laguna are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Atlas, L 2-3 @ Monterrey, L 0-1 v America de Cali, W 2-1 @ NY Cosmos.
Santos Laguna hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Santos Laguna 1-2 Mazatlán.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
