Uruguay U19 v Peru U19: the model read
Uruguay U19 meet Peru U19 in the South American Youth Games group stage - 3 at Cancha Alterna de Fútbol COP, Luque. The model makes Uruguay U19 the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 50% URU, 27% draw, 23% PER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 33%. Attacking output favors Uruguay U19 on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Uruguay U19 at 69%; double chance reads Uruguay U19 or draw 77%, Peru U19 or draw 50%.
Uruguay U19 arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Colombia U19, L 1-3 v Ecuador U19, D 1-1 v Peru U19, D 1-1 @ Paraguay U19.
Peru U19 are out of sorts: 0W-2D-1L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Uruguay U19, D 1-1 v Venezuela U19, L 0-6 @ Paraguay U19.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2022: Uruguay U19 1-1 Peru U19.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output