Sedan v Chateauroux: the model read
Sedan meet Chateauroux in the National 1 regular season - 32 at Stade Louis-Dugauguez, Sedan. The model makes Sedan the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% SED, 31% draw, 31% CHA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sedan, 45% against 33%. Attacking output favors Sedan on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Sedan at 55%; double chance reads Sedan or draw 69%, Chateauroux or draw 62%.
Sedan arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Villefranche, L 1-2 @ Stade Briochin, W 3-2 v Chateauroux, W 2-1 @ Cholet.
Chateauroux are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Valenciennes, W 2-1 v Sochaux, W 2-1 @ Dijon, L 0-2 v Fleury 91.
Sedan hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Sedan 3-2 Chateauroux.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
