TunisiaChile v Tunisia: the model read
Chile meet Tunisia in the Kirin Cup semi-finals at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe. The model makes Chile the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% CHI, 29% draw, 35% TUN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1480 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Tunisia on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Chile at 51%; double chance reads Chile or draw 65%, Tunisia or draw 64%.
Chile arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Congo DR, L 1-2 @ Portugal, L 1-4 @ New Zealand, W 4-2 v Cape Verde Islands.
Tunisia are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Netherlands, L 0-4 v Japan, L 1-5 @ Sweden, L 0-5 @ Belgium.
Tunisia hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Chile 0-2 Tunisia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
