Pumas Tabasco v Dorados: the model read
Pumas Tabasco meet Dorados in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 16 at Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa, Villahermosa. The model makes Pumas Tabasco the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% PUM, 30% draw, 29% DOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pumas Tabasco, 47% against 30%. Attacking output favors Pumas Tabasco on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Pumas Tabasco at 58%; double chance reads Pumas Tabasco or draw 71%, Dorados or draw 59%.
Pumas Tabasco arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Alebrijes de Oaxaca, L 1-4 @ Cancún, W 1-0 v Monarcas, W 2-0 @ Mineros de Zacatecas.
Dorados are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Tapatío, L 0-2 @ Tlaxcala, W 2-1 v Correcaminos Uat, L 0-2 @ Atlante FC.
Dorados hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Dorados 1-2 Pumas Tabasco.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
