AE Neapolis v Poros: the model read
AE Neapolis meet Poros in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 group 7 - 18 at Stadio Neapoli, Neapoli. The model makes Poros the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 23% AE , 32% draw, 45% POR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Poros, 45% against 23%. Attacking output favors Poros on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Poros at 66%; double chance reads AE Neapolis or draw 55%, Poros or draw 77%.
AE Neapolis arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Poros, L 0-2 v Panionios, L 0-5 @ Atsalenios, L 0-2 v Almyros Gaziou.
Poros are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Marko, D 0-0 @ Ethnikos Piraeus, D 1-1 v Agios Nikolaos, W 5-1 @ Agios Ierotheos.
Poros hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: AE Neapolis 0-2 Poros.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
