Ayacucho FC v Sporting Cristal: the model read
Ayacucho FC meet Sporting Cristal in the Copa Bicentenario quarter-finals at Estadio Municipal Iván Elías Moreno, Lima. The model makes Sporting Cristal the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% AYA, 32% draw, 35% SPO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1407 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 36% against 43%. Attacking output favors Sporting Cristal on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Sporting Cristal at 51%; double chance reads Ayacucho FC or draw 65%, Sporting Cristal or draw 67%.
Ayacucho FC arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Santos, L 2-3 @ Alianza Universidad, L 1-2 @ Santos, L 0-1 v Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
Sporting Cristal are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ FBC Melgar, D 0-0 v RB Bragantino, W 1-0 v Deportivo Garcilaso, D 1-1 v Bentín Tacna Heroica.
Sporting Cristal hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Sporting Cristal 3-0 Ayacucho FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
