Mbour Petite Côte v Stade de Mbour: the model read
Mbour Petite Côte meet Stade de Mbour in the Ligue 1 regular season - 20 at Stade Lamine Guèye, Kaolack. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 24% MBO, 40% draw, 36% STA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Stade de Mbour, 45% against 20%. Attacking output favors Stade de Mbour on expected goals, 0.6 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 9%, over 2.5 goals around 5%. Draw no bet leans Stade de Mbour at 60%; double chance reads Mbour Petite Côte or draw 64%, Stade de Mbour or draw 76%.
Mbour Petite Côte arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Génération Foot, L 0-2 v Jaraaf, L 1-2 v CNEPS Excellence, L 0-1 @ DSC.
Stade de Mbour are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Gorée, L 0-2 v Guédiawaye, L 0-2 @ Teungueth, W 2-0 @ DSC.
Stade de Mbour hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Mbour Petite Côte 1-0 Stade de Mbour.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output