Mbour Petite Côte v Jaraaf: the model read
Mbour Petite Côte meet Jaraaf in the Ligue 1 regular season - 14 at Stade Lamine Guèye, Kaolack. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 22% MBO, 40% draw, 38% JAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Jaraaf, 50% against 20%. Attacking output favors Jaraaf on expected goals, 0.6 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 9%, over 2.5 goals around 6%. Draw no bet leans Jaraaf at 63%; double chance reads Mbour Petite Côte or draw 62%, Jaraaf or draw 78%.
Mbour Petite Côte arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Génération Foot, L 0-2 v Jaraaf, L 1-2 v CNEPS Excellence, L 0-1 @ DSC.
Jaraaf are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ AS Camberene, D 0-0 v Casa Sport, W 3-0 v DSC, D 0-0 @ Pikine.
Jaraaf hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Mbour Petite Côte 0-2 Jaraaf.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
