Mbour Petite Côte v Niarry Tally: the model read
Mbour Petite Côte meet Niarry Tally in the Ligue 1 regular season - 12 at Stade Lamine Guèye, Kaolack. The model makes Niarry Tally the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 24% MBO, 35% draw, 41% NIA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Niarry Tally, 40% against 20%. Attacking output favors Niarry Tally on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 21%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans Niarry Tally at 63%; double chance reads Mbour Petite Côte or draw 59%, Niarry Tally or draw 76%.
Mbour Petite Côte arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Génération Foot, L 0-2 v Jaraaf, L 1-2 v CNEPS Excellence, L 0-1 @ DSC.
Niarry Tally are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Jaraaf, W 3-0 v Mbour Petite Côte, D 0-0 v DSC, W 3-1 @ CNEPS Excellence.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Niarry Tally 3-0 Mbour Petite Côte.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
