Ohod v Al-Fateh: the model read
Ohod meet Al-Fateh in the Crown Prince Cup round of 16 at Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Medina. The model makes Al-Fateh the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 26% OHO, 31% draw, 42% AL-.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al-Fateh, 33% against 13%. Attacking output favors Al-Fateh on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Al-Fateh at 62%; double chance reads Ohod or draw 58%, Al-Fateh or draw 74%.
Ohod arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Al Loa, L 1-2 @ Hetten FC, D 1-1 v Al Qalah, L 1-2 @ Hajer.
Al-Fateh are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Mallorca, D 0-0 @ Al Kholood, W 2-0 v Al Najma, L 0-1 @ Al Riyadh.
Al-Fateh hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Ohod 0-0 Al-Fateh.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
