Persija Jakarta v PSM Makassar: the model read
Persija Jakarta meet PSM Makassar in the Piala Indonesia final. The model makes Persija Jakarta the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% PER, 30% draw, 27% PSM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Persija Jakarta, 48% against 28%. Attacking output favors Persija Jakarta on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Persija Jakarta at 61%; double chance reads Persija Jakarta or draw 73%, PSM Makassar or draw 57%.
Persija Jakarta arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Malut United, L 1-2 @ PSS Sleman, W 3-0 v Bali United, L 0-1 @ Pusamania Borneo.
PSM Makassar are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Persepam Madura Utd, L 1-2 v Persib Bandung, L 0-3 @ Arema FC, W 2-1 v Bhayangkara FC.
Persija Jakarta hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: PSM Makassar 1-0 Persija Jakarta.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
