Lourinhanense v União Almeirim: the model read
Lourinhanense meet União Almeirim in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group F group f - 22 at Estádio Municipal da Lourinhã, Lourinhã. The model makes União Almeirim the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 32% LOU, 32% draw, 36% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 28% against 29%. Attacking output favors Lourinhanense on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans União Almeirim at 53%; double chance reads Lourinhanense or draw 64%, União Almeirim or draw 68%.
Lourinhanense arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 9 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v União Almeirim, L 3-4 @ Sacavenense, L 0-4 @ Torreense, L 1-4 v Sintrense.
União Almeirim are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Lourinhanense, L 1-2 v Alverca, L 0-2 @ 1º Dezembro, D 0-0 v Sacavenense.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Lourinhanense 4-1 União Almeirim.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
