Luçon v CA Bastia: the model read
Luçon meet CA Bastia in the National 1 regular season - 28 at Stade Jean de Mouzon, Luçon. The model makes Luçon the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% LUÇ, 32% draw, 28% CA .
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 30%. Attacking output favors Luçon on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Luçon at 59%; double chance reads Luçon or draw 72%, CA Bastia or draw 60%.
Luçon arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 5 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Laval, D 3-3 v Les Herbiers, L 0-1 @ Beziers, L 1-5 v Orleans.
CA Bastia are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Athletico Marseille, W 1-0 v Paris FC, L 1-7 @ Sedan, L 1-2 v Avranches.
Luçon hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2016: Luçon 0-0 CA Bastia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
