Deportivo Binacional v Atletico Grau: the model read
Deportivo Binacional meet Atletico Grau in the Supercopa final at Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao, Callao. The model makes Atletico Grau the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 28% DEP, 32% draw, 40% ATL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Atletico Grau, 43% against 32%. Attacking output favors Atletico Grau on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Atletico Grau at 59%; double chance reads Deportivo Binacional or draw 60%, Atletico Grau or draw 72%.
Deportivo Binacional arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Bentín Tacna Heroica, L 1-3 @ Santos, L 1-4 @ Deportivo Garcilaso, W 4-3 v Cusco.
Atletico Grau are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Sport Huancayo, W 3-1 v UTC Cajamarca, D 1-1 v Carlos A. Mannucci, D 1-1 @ Universitario.
Atletico Grau hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Atletico Grau 3-0 Deportivo Binacional.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
