Where the market is wrong on Guiseley AFC v Bradford (Park Avenue)
Guiseley AFC meet Bradford (Park Avenue) in the FA Cup 3rd round qualifying.
The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1675, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 72%. Attacking output favors Guiseley AFC on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.8 per match.
Guiseley AFC arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Alfreton Town, W 4-2 v Bamber Bridge, W 4-1 @ Hebburn Town, W 4-1 v Quorn.
Bradford (Park Avenue) are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Lancaster City, W 2-1 @ Curzon Ashton, L 1-2 @ Stalybridge Celtic, W 2-0 @ Gainsborough Trinity.
Guiseley AFC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Bradford (Park Avenue) 0-1 Guiseley AFC.
The market prices GUI at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Bradford (Park Avenue): a 15.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
