Tiaret v Usm El Harrach: the model read
Tiaret meet Usm El Harrach in the Ligue 2 regular season - 2.
Usm El Harrach rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1477. Recent form leans Usm El Harrach, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Usm El Harrach on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Tiaret arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Usm El Harrach, L 1-2 @ WA Tlemcen, L 1-3 @ Béchar Djedid, L 0-1 v Témouchent.
Usm El Harrach are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Tiaret, W 1-0 v ASM Oran, L 1-2 v US Chaouia, W 3-0 v WA Mostaganem.
The market prices TIA at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on Tiaret: a 1.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output