Where the market is wrong on Tanzania U20 v Burundi U20
Tanzania U20 meet Burundi U20 in the CECAFA U20 Championship semi-finals at Uhuru Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 53%. Attacking output favors Burundi U20 on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Tanzania U20 arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Burundi U20, W 4-0 @ Ethiopia U20, W 3-0 v Rwanda U20, L 0-1 v Egypt U20.
Burundi U20 are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Tanzania U20, W 2-0 v Kenya U20, W 4-0 @ South Sudan U20, L 1-3 @ Uganda U20.
Tanzania U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tanzania U20 2-0 Burundi U20.
The market prices TAN at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Burundi U20: a 19.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
