Where the market is wrong on Khovd v Ulaanbaatar
Khovd meet Ulaanbaatar in the Premier League regular season - 5.
Ulaanbaatar rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1408. Recent form leans Ulaanbaatar, 75% against 33%. Attacking output favors Ulaanbaatar on expected goals, 3.3 to 2.1 per match.
Khovd arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 19 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Ulaanbaatar, W 8-2 @ Erchim, L 0-6 v Central Stallions, W 4-0 v Khovd Western.
Ulaanbaatar are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 19 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Khovd, W 5-3 v Hunters, W 9-0 @ Amtat FC, D 0-0 @ Deren.
The market prices KHO at 5% implied. Our number sits apart on Khovd: a 17.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output