Where the market is wrong on Bradford v Peterborough
Bradford meet Peterborough in the League Cup round of 16 at Valley Parade, Bradford.
Bradford rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1489. Recent form leans Bradford, 70% against 48%. Attacking output favors Bradford on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Bradford arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Newcastle United U21, W 1-0 @ Luton, W 1-0 @ Notts County, W 3-1 @ Leyton Orient.
Peterborough are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Stockport County, W 3-1 v Colchester, L 0-2 v Doncaster, D 3-3 v Barnsley.
Bradford hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bradford 2-0 Peterborough.
The market prices BRA at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
