Fiorentina v Napoli: the model read
Fiorentina meet Napoli in the Coppa Italia round of 16 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.
The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 60%. Attacking output favors Fiorentina on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Fiorentina arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Napoli, W 3-0 v Pisa, W 4-2 @ Venezia, L 1-2 v Torino.
Napoli are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fiorentina, W 1-0 v Bologna, L 0-1 v Arsenal, L 2-3 @ Inter.
Napoli hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
