Where the market is wrong on Terrassa v Binéfar
Terrassa meet Binéfar in the Copa Federacion round of 16.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 60%. Attacking output favors Binéfar on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.9 per match.
Terrassa arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Binéfar, D 0-0 v Barbastro, W 1-0 @ San Juan, W 1-0 @ Calamocha.
Binéfar are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Terrassa, L 2-3 v CDJ Tamarite, W 1-0 v Porreres, W 4-2 @ Andorra CF.
Terrassa hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Terrassa 4-0 Binéfar.
The market prices TER at 69% implied. Our number sits apart on Binéfar: a 30.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
