Orihuela v Real Murcia: the model read
Orihuela meet Real Murcia in the Copa Federacion round of 16.
Real Murcia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1477. Recent form leans Real Murcia, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Real Murcia on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Orihuela arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Real Murcia, W 1-0 v Lorca Deportiva, W 3-1 @ San Fernando CD, W 2-1 @ Real Murcia II.
Real Murcia are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Orihuela, L 0-4 @ Atlético Madrid II, W 2-1 @ Mensajero, W 4-0 v Teruel.
The market prices ORI at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Real Murcia: a 1.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
