Where the market is wrong on Monagas SC v Zamora FC
Monagas SC meet Zamora FC in the Primera División clausura - 10.
The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Monagas SC on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Monagas SC arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Caracas FC, W 5-1 v Bolívar, L 0-1 v Metropolitanos FC, W 3-1 @ Anzoátegui FC.
Zamora FC are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Trujillanos FC, W 2-0 @ Real Frontera, D 1-1 @ Portuguesa FC, L 2-5 v Deportivo Tachira FC.
Monagas SC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Zamora FC 2-1 Monagas SC.
The market prices MON at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Zamora FC: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
