Where the market is wrong on HJK W v Brann W
HJK W meet Brann W in the UEFA Europa Cup - Women 1st qualifying round - finals at Bolt Arena, Helsinki.
The baseline ratings are close, 1746 to 1822, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Brann W, 93% against 82%. Attacking output favors Brann W on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.8 per match.
HJK W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 16 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Brann W, W 6-1 v IF Gnistan, W 5-2 @ Ilves W, W 2-1 v Åland United W.
Brann W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Stabæk W, W 2-0 @ HJK W, W 4-0 v Bodø / Glimt W, W 3-0 @ Lyn W.
Brann W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: HJK W 0-2 Brann W.
The market prices HJK at 12% implied. Our number sits apart on HJK W: a 14.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
