Where the market is wrong on Grorud v Moss
Grorud meet Moss in the NM Cupen round of 64.
Grorud rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1420. Recent form leans Grorud, 70% against 38%. Attacking output favors Grorud on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Grorud arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Levanger, D 1-1 v Moss, W 3-2 v Kjelsås, W 2-0 v Tromsdalen Uil.
Moss are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Grorud, W 2-1 @ Sandnes ULF, L 1-4 v Haugesund, W 3-2 @ Stabaek.
Moss hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Grorud 1-1 Moss.
The market prices GRO at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Grorud: a 16.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 86 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
