Where the market is wrong on Northern Tigers v St. George Saints
Northern Tigers meet St. George Saints in the New South Wales NPL final at North Turramurra Recreation Area, undefined.
Northern Tigers rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1400. Recent form leans Northern Tigers, 68% against 23%. Attacking output favors Northern Tigers on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Northern Tigers arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v St. George Saints, W 3-0 @ Mt Druitt Town, W 3-2 v Macarthur Rams, D 1-1 @ Bulls Academy.
St. George Saints are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Northern Tigers, L 0-6 @ Sydney United, W 1-0 v Blacktown City, W 2-1 @ Western Sydney Wanderers U23.
Northern Tigers hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Northern Tigers 0-0 St. George Saints.
The market prices NOR at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Northern Tigers: a 13.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 86 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
