Where the market is wrong on Bucaspor 1928 v Gaziemirspor
Bucaspor 1928 meet Gaziemirspor in the Türkiye Kupası round of 32.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gaziemirspor, 33% against 23%. Attacking output favors Gaziemirspor on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Bucaspor 1928 arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Gaziemirspor, W 2-1 v Akşehirspor, L 1-4 @ Balıkesirspor, W 1-0 @ Karacabey Belediyespor.
Gaziemirspor are patchy: 1W-0D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Bucaspor 1928, L 0-2 @ Söke 1970, L 0-3 v Ayvalikgucu.
Gaziemirspor hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bucaspor 1928 0-4 Gaziemirspor.
The market prices BUC at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on Bucaspor 1928: a 13.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
