Where the market is wrong on Selangor v Sabah FA
Selangor meet Sabah FA in the FA Cup round of 16 at MBPJ Stadium, Petaling Jaya.
Selangor rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1443. Recent form leans Selangor, 75% against 43%. Attacking output favors Selangor on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.0 per match.
Selangor arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Sabah FA, W 3-2 v Melaka, D 2-2 @ Sabah FA, W 3-0 @ Terengganu.
Sabah FA are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Selangor, L 0-2 v Kuching FA, D 2-2 v Selangor, W 2-0 v Penang.
Selangor hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Selangor 2-1 Sabah FA.
The market prices SEL at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
