Where the market is wrong on Al Shamal v Al-Rayyan SC
Al Shamal meet Al-Rayyan SC in the Qatar Cup semi-finals at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha.
Al-Rayyan SC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1504. Recent form leans Al-Rayyan SC, 73% against 47%. Attacking output favors Al-Rayyan SC on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.5 per match.
Al Shamal arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 11 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Al-Gharafa, D 2-2 @ Al-Arabi SC, L 4-6 v Al Sadd, L 2-3 @ Al Sadd.
Al-Rayyan SC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Al Wakrah, W 1-0 v Lusail City, L 1-2 @ Leganes, D 3-3 @ Rochdale.
Al-Rayyan SC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Shamal 3-3 Al-Rayyan SC.
The market prices AL at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Al-Rayyan SC: a 9.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 79 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
