Millwall v Newcastle: the model read
Millwall meet Newcastle in the League Cup round of 32 at The Den, London.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Millwall, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Newcastle on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Millwall arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Southampton, W 1-0 @ Cambridge United, W 3-0 v Norwich, W 2-0 @ Bristol City.
Newcastle are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Tottenham, W 3-2 v West Brom, D 2-2 v Liverpool, D 1-1 v Strasbourg.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
