South Melbourne v Lions: the model read
South Melbourne meet Lions in the Australia Cup semi-finals at Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne.
Lions rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1753 to 1569. Recent form leans Lions, 83% against 57%. Attacking output favors Lions on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.7 per match.
South Melbourne arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Lions, L 1-2 @ Oakleigh Cannons, W 2-1 v Heidelberg United, L 0-1 @ Sunshine Georgies.
Lions are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ South Melbourne, W 1-0 v Peninsula Power, W 4-1 v Peninsula Power, W 4-0 v North Sunshine Eagles.
South Melbourne hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: South Melbourne 3-1 Lions.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
