Where the market is wrong on Entebbe UPPC v UPDF
Entebbe UPPC meet UPDF in the Premier League regular season - 2 at Gaddafi Arena, Jinja.
Entebbe UPPC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans Entebbe UPPC, 63% against 25%. Attacking output favors Entebbe UPPC on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.
Entebbe UPPC arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v UPDF, W 1-0 @ Vipers, W 4-0 v BUL, D 1-1 @ Police.
UPDF are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Entebbe UPPC, D 0-0 v Kataka, L 1-2 @ SC Villa, D 0-0 v Calvary.
The market prices ENT at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 9.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output