Where the market is wrong on Comerciantes v Ayacucho FC
Comerciantes meet Ayacucho FC in the Segunda División regular season - 17 at Estadio Max Augustin, Iquitos.
Comerciantes rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1420. Recent form leans Comerciantes, 60% against 37%. Attacking output favors Comerciantes on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Comerciantes arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Ayacucho FC, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Binacional, D 2-2 v Minas, D 2-2 @ Estudiantil CNI.
Ayacucho FC are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Comerciantes, W 7-1 v Deportivo Binacional, L 1-3 @ Minas, W 1-0 v Estudiantil CNI.
Comerciantes hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Comerciantes 5-1 Ayacucho FC.
The market prices COM at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Ayacucho FC: a 8.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
