Atletico-MG v Santos: the model read
Atletico-MG meet Santos in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana quarter-finals at MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte.
The baseline ratings are close, 1637 to 1598, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 71% against 64%. Attacking output favors Santos on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Atletico-MG arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Cruzeiro, W 2-1 v Vitoria, D 1-1 @ Cruzeiro, D 0-0 @ Internacional.
Santos are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Corinthians, L 0-3 @ Palmeiras, D 1-1 v Mirassol, D 0-0 @ Macara.
Atletico-MG hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Santos 1-0 Atletico-MG.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
