Rīgas FS v Riga: the model read
Rīgas FS meet Riga in the Cup semi-finals at LNK Sporta Parks, Riga.
The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 80%. Attacking output favors Riga on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.3 per match.
Rīgas FS arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Ogre United, D 3-3 v Riga, W 1-0 @ Super Nova, L 1-2 v FK Jablonec.
Riga are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ FK Liepaja, W 2-1 v KI Klaksvik, D 3-3 @ Rīgas FS, D 0-0 @ KI Klaksvik.
Riga hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rīgas FS 3-3 Riga.
The market prices RĪG at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
