Where the market is wrong on Karvan v Zaqatala
Karvan meet Zaqatala in the Birinci Dasta regular season - 3 at Yevlakh City Stadium, Yevlakh.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 28% against 28%. Attacking output favors Zaqatala on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Karvan arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Zaqatala, L 0-2 @ Şahdağ, W 3-0 @ Baku Sportinq, D 1-1 @ Imisli FK.
Zaqatala are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Karvan, W 3-0 v Baku Sportinq, D 2-2 @ Mingəçevir, W 2-1 v Safa Baku.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Karvan 3-0 Zaqatala.
The market prices KAR at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Zaqatala: a 21.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
