Genoa v Sudtirol: the model read
Genoa meet Sudtirol in the Coppa Italia round of 32 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 40%. Attacking output favors Genoa on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Sudtirol at 50%; double chance reads Genoa or draw 66%, Sudtirol or draw 67%.
Genoa arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Lazio, L 0-2 v Napoli, W 4-1 v Ascoli, L 0-1 v Deportivo La Coruna.
Sudtirol are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Benevento, W 1-0 v Virtus Entella, D 2-2 @ Catanzaro, W 1-0 v Virtus Verona.
Genoa hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Sudtirol 0-0 Genoa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
