Where the market is wrong on Real Normanna v Gravina
Real Normanna meet Gravina in the Serie D - Girone H group h - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gravina, 73% against 57%. Attacking output favors Gravina on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Real Normanna arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Gravina, W 4-3 @ USD Palmese, L 1-2 v Martina Franca, D 2-2 @ Ischia.
Gravina are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Real Normanna, D 2-2 v Real Forio 2014, D 0-0 @ Turris, W 3-1 v Gladiator.
The market prices REA at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Gravina: a 8.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output