Where the market is wrong on Cjarlins Muzane v Triestina
Cjarlins Muzane meet Triestina in the Serie D - Girone C group c - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cjarlins Muzane, 50% against 30%. Attacking output favors Cjarlins Muzane on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Cjarlins Muzane arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Triestina, W 2-1 @ Este, L 0-1 v Conegliano, W 4-1 v Campodarsego.
Triestina are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Cjarlins Muzane, D 1-1 v Bassano Virtus, L 1-2 @ Campodarsego, D 1-1 v Calvi Noale.
Cjarlins Muzane hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cjarlins Muzane 3-0 Triestina.
The market prices CJA at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Triestina: a 8.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
